Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.033414 0.038938 0.045019 0.052199 0.060438 0.069583 0.080495
2025-08-31 0.024435 0.031439 0.039869 0.050721 0.064282 0.080621 0.101752
2025-09-07 0.019974 0.028003 0.038437 0.052895 0.072306 0.097345 0.131951
2025-09-14 0.016062 0.024333 0.035846 0.052878 0.077234 0.110574 0.159372
2025-09-21 0.012812 0.020843 0.032746 0.051428 0.079704 0.120509 0.183338
2025-09-28 0.010587 0.018381 0.030612 0.050862 0.083105 0.131870 0.210388
2025-10-05 0.009559 0.017580 0.030817 0.053778 0.091986 0.152155 0.252819
2025-10-12 0.008535 0.016576 0.030486 0.055693 0.099386 0.170812 0.294590
2025-10-19 0.007164 0.014693 0.028345 0.054176 0.100790 0.179828 0.321575
2025-10-26 0.006184 0.013348 0.026924 0.053665 0.103750 0.191574 0.354098
2025-11-02 0.005236 0.011888 0.025051 0.052016 0.104380 0.199230 0.380143
2025-11-09 0.004482 0.010683 0.023473 0.050674 0.105337 0.207436 0.407785
2025-11-16 0.003953 0.009880 0.022611 0.050684 0.108998 0.221163 0.447321
2025-11-23 0.003386 0.008887 0.021197 0.049361 0.109843 0.229666 0.477915
2025-11-30 0.003164 0.008664 0.021419 0.051541 0.118106 0.253352 0.540114
2025-12-07 0.002818 0.008067 0.020705 0.051554 0.121782 0.268247 0.586293
2025-12-14 0.002433 0.007293 0.019451 0.050153 0.122195 0.276476 0.619673
2025-12-21 0.002149 0.006730 0.018617 0.049608 0.124428 0.288682 0.662385
2025-12-28 0.002067 0.006717 0.019156 0.052461 0.134788 0.319266 0.746838
2026-01-04 0.001944 0.006560 0.019296 0.054334 0.143039 0.345967 0.825173
2026-01-11 0.001694 0.005968 0.018188 0.052853 0.143020 0.354161 0.863347
2026-01-18 0.001513 0.005552 0.017492 0.052354 0.145356 0.367918 0.915217
2026-01-25 0.001316 0.005041 0.016442 0.050743 0.144668 0.374526 0.951208